Clearly those the most fit at dealing with "just evidence" will be idiot savants outside their evidence domain.

When asked: what should we do, I replied: just listen to John Gray. It was a great surprise when a few hours later, I opened my mail and saw John Gray's book with a handwritten note from him. Had I written a book about the black swan idea almost nobody would have read it. A man is morally free when, in full possession of his living humanity, he judges the world, and judges other men, with . How about the reverse: you do not become free by acting intransigent; those who are free have the obligation to be intransigent.

People think that I wrote TBS to communicate my ideas about human errors, epistemic arrogance, complexity, and high-impact uncertainty. I wrote a book to talk about Yevgenia, Lebanon, Casanova; I wanted to express my love for il Deserto and my outrage for the very existence of frauds like Robert Merton le petit. Some people think they attend the opera for the story. Language is largely made to show-off, gossip, confuse people, delude them, charm them, seduce them, scare them, exploit them, etc. Fat Tony to Nero: "Being self owned is a state of mind".

Our Word of the Year choice serves as a symbol of each year’s most meaningful events and lookup trends.

It is an opportunity for us to reflect on the language and ideas that represented each year.

", they kept saying, missing the subtlety of the & evidence of fat tails.

Two unpleasant situation, worth naming names because these two individuals are exceedingly harmful to society.

Someone callous, indifferent to the harm done to others would have lived comfortably ("it is all about money"). Christianity never allowed suicide; the stoics did --it allows a man to get the last word with fate.

Thierry, veuillez recevoir l'expression de mon respect le plus profond. Iatrogenics only entered my private vocabulary quite recently thanks to a conversation with Bryan Appleyard; I have been haunted by it since then.

I wonder what you can do with an unemployed, say, academic orthodox economist.

You could do better with non-post-academic cab drivers.

Which is also, from a risk management standpoint, why I can safely predict that any enterprise managed by a certain class of "rigorous" idiot savants using a certain class of certainties would blow up.